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India's exports to US plunge as Trump's 50% tariffs bite

October 16, 2025

India's goods exports to the US fell significantly by 20% in September and nearly 40% over four months following the implementation of 50% tariffs by the US on August 27, which included a 25% penalty for India's Russian oil purchases. According to the Global Trade Research Initiative (GTRI), labor-intensive sectors like textiles, gems, engineering goods, and chemicals have been most severely affected, contributing to India's widening trade deficit which reached a 13-month high of $32. 15 billion in September.

Who is affected

  • Indian exporters, particularly in labor-intensive sectors such as textiles, gems and jewelry, engineering goods, and chemicals
  • Small farmers in India whose interests are being protected in trade negotiations
  • India's overall economy as the trade deficit has widened to a 13-month high
  • US-India bilateral trade relationship, which was valued at $190 billion in 2024

What action is being taken

  • Trade negotiations between India and the US are currently underway with an Indian delegation in the US for talks
  • Discussions are ongoing with the US administration regarding energy cooperation
  • India is cushioning some export losses to the US through improved trade with countries like the UAE and China

Why it matters

  • The US is India's largest foreign market, and the steep tariffs are severely impacting India's export economy
  • The widening trade deficit has reached a 13-month high of $32.15 billion in September
  • The bilateral trade relationship is significant, having reached $190 billion in 2024 with ambitions to grow to $500 billion
  • The dispute touches on geopolitical issues including India's oil purchases from Russia amid the Ukraine war

What's next

  • Negotiations for a trade deal between the two countries aim to conclude an agreement by next month
  • Trump and Modi have set a target to more than double bilateral trade from $190 billion to $500 billion

Read full article from source: BBC

India's exports to US plunge as Trump's 50% tariffs bite